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 Post subject: Christmas Tree in Kelgari
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2012, 12:59 
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Joined: 08 Jan 2012, 12:19
Posts: 1
For statistic lovers: :D

Christmas time is a wonderful time and even more wonderful is the Christmas Tree in the Kelgari Dungeon (thx to the creators).

Because I sometimes had long times of getting nothing when I tried to steal something from the tree, I began to make some statistics and here I want to share it with you.
As I think we would need a higher number of "stealing events" to make a perfect statistic and use it for the freewar wiki, I only want to show my numbers to you in this forum.
I recorded more than 600 "stealing tries" and I sure want to show it to you before the dungeon disappears - that´s why I don´t wait for the 1000 ;) ... and I think we already can see some trends. So here are the numbers:

641 total stealing tries
217 succesfull stealings
(so I suggest that the ratio of success : no success is about 1:2)

of the 217 succesfull stealings I got:

Items worth 82gc (115 % shop):
32 Candy Cane Pieces
26 Christmas Tree Baubles
39 Everburning Candles
42 Mistletoes
27 Silver Bells
Items worth 276gc:
36 Wooden Christmas Tree Figurines
15 Christmas Treetops

I think that i recorded too few events to say something like "you get 1.6 times more Mistletoes than Christmas Tree Baubles". I would suggest that all 82gc items are distributed equally. And I would suggest that the Figurines are distributed same as the 82gc items.
In my "experiment" i got to climb up the tree and get a Treetop every 43 tries. I´ve heared that you get on the top once an hour - this would be every 30 tries - ok, i think this can be true and my number is not that far away from 30 ;). Perhaps you climb up the treetop about half as often as you get any of the other items.

So here is just a Suggestion of the ratios:
26 x nothing (2 times all other items)
10 x item worth 82gc
2 x wooden figurine worth 276gc
1 x treetop worth 276gc


The last thing I find interesting is a comparison to digging ingerium:

counting together all MY tries and calculating goldcoin / minute (selling at 115 % shop) I get: 21,6 gc/min
if my ratio suggestion is right, the avarage goldcoins / minute are: 21,1 gc/min (sounds pretty near to my real income :))
when digging ingerium, you need 5min and get 69gc meaning: 13,8 gc/min

Although the income/min is better at the tree, please mind that this is only true if you really click every 2 min.
If you click every 5 min, digging for ingerium is more efficient as you earn only 8,4 gc/min if you click every 5 min at the tree!


If there are other interesting things to calculate please feel free to do so.
....aaaaand: please don´t stone me to death because you don´t like my suggestions; the numbers are the truth, and my suggestions are what I think ^^

and, ups: no stones yet :D

Cheers, Brenner


Last edited by Brenner on 09 Jan 2012, 10:41, edited 4 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Christmas Tree in Kelgari
PostPosted: 08 Jan 2012, 13:38 
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Joined: 08 Jan 2012, 13:33
Posts: 1
Quote:
aaaaand: please don´t stone me to death because you don´t like my suggestions


you could instead stone me
but only if you use stones of ceroth ^^


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 Post subject: Re: Christmas Tree in Kelgari
PostPosted: 11 Jan 2012, 21:05 
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Small Sheep

Joined: 02 Jul 2010, 15:42
Posts: 4
1177 found items in total and I tried over 3000 times

186 Candy Cane Piece

200 Christmas Tree Bauble

183 Everburning Candle

196 Silver Bell

213 Wooden Christmas Tree Figurine

199 Mistletoe

many times on top of the tree sometimes even twice in a row but i cant kill that treetop :(

and i found 1 purple stone of ceroth and 1 golden stone.


greetings


Last edited by corby on 29 Jan 2012, 12:34, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Christmas Tree in Kelgari
PostPosted: 14 Jan 2012, 09:26 
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Joined: 04 Sep 2010, 21:57
Posts: 2
Here is my statistic so far:

1185 tries without success
620 tries with success, as follows:

Items worth 82gc (115 % shop):
87 Candy Cane Pieces
88 Christmas Tree Baubles
96 Everburning Candles
105 Mistletoes
105 Silver Bells

Items worth 276gc:
94 Wooden Christmas Tree Figurines
42? Christmas Treetops (I think I forgot to count them later^^')

3 Stones of Ceroth
That means that my private chance for stones of ceroth was about 1:600 so far. ;)


Last edited by Woody on 27 Jan 2012, 11:50, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Christmas Tree in Kelgari
PostPosted: 14 Jan 2012, 18:57 
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Wood Slurper
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Joined: 28 Dec 2009, 00:27
Posts: 13
Woody wrote:
[...]


I like your name, friend.


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